IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Eastern Kentucky
Ohio Valley
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.4	#211
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	82.5	#5
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.0	#200

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.4	#242

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.1%	6.7%	3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.4	14.2	14.8

.500 or above	63.4%	75.7%	49.9%
.500 or above in Conference	67.9%	75.2%	59.8%
Conference Champion	5.1%	7.1%	2.9%
Last Place in Conference	2.3%	1.3%	3.4%

First Four	0.4%	0.4%	0.4%
First Round	4.9%	6.5%	3.1%
Second Round	0.4%	0.5%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Neutral) - 52.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 4	2 - 7
Quad 4	12 - 5	14 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	218	North Florida	W	86-85	52%
Nov 27, 2020	280	Charleston Southern	W	79-76	62%
Nov 30, 2020	58	@ Xavier	L	71-87	8%
Dec 02, 2020	307	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	83-81	58%
Dec 07, 2020	296	Morehead St.	W	82-75	74%
Dec 14, 2020	296	@ Morehead St.	W	79-78	55%
Dec 22, 2020	314	High Point	W	81-72	79%
Dec 30, 2020	186	Eastern Illinois	W	81-80	54%
Jan 02, 2021	133	@ Austin Peay	L	77-85	23%
Jan 07, 2021	255	Jacksonville St.	W	80-75	68%
Jan 09, 2021	304	Tennessee Tech	W	81-73	76%
Jan 14, 2021	331	@ SIU Edwardsville	W	83-77	70%
Jan 16, 2021	186	@ Eastern Illinois	L	78-83	35%
Jan 21, 2021	324	Tennessee Martin	W	90-79	83%
Jan 23, 2021	325	Southeast Missouri St.	W	85-74	83%
Jan 28, 2021	304	@ Tennessee Tech	W	78-76	56%
Jan 30, 2021	255	@ Jacksonville St.	L	77-78	48%
Feb 04, 2021	133	Austin Peay	L	80-82	42%
Feb 06, 2021	105	Murray St.	L	77-82	34%
Feb 11, 2021	114	@ Belmont	L	78-88	19%
Feb 13, 2021	269	@ Tennessee St.	L	79-80	49%
Feb 18, 2021	325	@ Southeast Missouri St.	W	82-77	67%
Feb 20, 2021	324	@ Tennessee Martin	W	87-82	66%
Feb 25, 2021	114	Belmont	L	81-85	36%
Feb 27, 2021	269	Tennessee St.	W	82-76	69%
Projected Record						14 - 11	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	1.7	1.3	0.5	0.1		5.1	1st
2nd													0.0	0.4	1.6	2.9	2.6	1.3	0.2	0.0			9.0	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.1	1.1	2.9	4.3	2.9	0.9	0.1					12.4	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	1.9	4.8	5.0	2.4	0.5	0.0						15.0	4th
5th									0.0	0.6	2.6	5.3	4.5	1.7	0.2	0.0							15.0	5th
6th								0.0	0.6	3.1	4.9	3.1	0.8	0.1									12.6	6th
7th							0.0	0.6	2.6	3.8	2.1	0.6	0.1										9.8	7th
8th						0.0	0.6	2.3	3.3	1.5	0.3	0.0											8.0	8th
9th					0.0	0.4	1.9	2.2	0.9	0.2	0.0												5.6	9th
10th				0.1	0.4	1.3	1.3	0.5	0.1														3.8	10th
11th			0.1	0.4	0.9	0.8	0.2	0.0															2.4	11th
12th	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0																1.3	12th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.6	2.7	4.2	5.6	7.5	9.1	10.4	11.0	11.3	10.0	8.6	6.8	4.6	3.0	1.5	0.5	0.1			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
19-1	99.6%	0.5		0.4	0.0
18-2	86.3%	1.3		0.9	0.4	0.0
17-3	54.7%	1.7		0.9	0.6	0.1
16-4	23.5%	1.1		0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0
15-5	5.6%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
14-6	1.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.0%	0.0			0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	5.1%	5.1		2.9	1.7	0.5	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.1%		74.1%	57.1%	17.0%	10.8					0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0		39.6%
19-1	0.5%		44.4%	42.6%	1.9%	12.7									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.3		3.2%
18-2	1.5%		33.8%	33.7%	0.1%	13.2											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.0		0.1%
17-3	3.0%		25.7%	25.7%		13.7													0.1	0.2	0.4	0.1	0.0	2.3
16-4	4.6%		19.7%	19.7%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	3.7
15-5	6.8%		13.9%	13.9%		14.7														0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	5.8
14-6	8.6%		8.6%	8.6%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.2	7.8
13-7	10.0%		3.7%	3.7%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	9.7
12-8	11.3%		2.6%	2.6%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.2	11.0
11-9	11.0%		1.3%	1.3%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	10.9
10-10	10.4%		0.6%	0.6%		15.9																0.0	0.1	10.3
9-11	9.1%		0.2%	0.2%		15.6																0.0	0.0	9.1
8-12	7.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.5
7-13	5.6%																							5.6
6-14	4.2%																							4.2
5-15	2.7%																							2.7
4-16	1.6%																							1.6
3-17	0.8%																							0.8
2-18	0.4%																							0.4
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		5.1%	5.1%	0.0%	14.4					0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.8	1.5	1.5	1.0	94.9		0.0%